Monday, 25 March 2013

The Youtube generation

Those wacky IT consultants have come up with a new generation, gen C otherwise known as the "Youtube" generation". Gen C is not an age group but the mindset of constantly being connected to the internet. One of Gen 's major habits is connecting to Youtube for entertainment. 80% of Gen C watch Youtube on a smartphone.

This is a big shift in consumer behaviour, these shifts create new opportunities and the leader in this case is Youtube. Last week on their official blog Youtube announced that they have hit one billion monthly users. Thats a lot of people, nearly one out of every two people on the internet visit Youtube every month. If you dig in further some of the most searched items on Youtube are music videos Call me maybe and Gangnam style being the no1 and no2 songs and video that you could not get out of your head in 2012. 

Source: http://www.google.com/think/infographics/gen-c-connects-on-youtube.html


Flashback to 2006 at the time Google bought Youtube the acquisition was seen as controversial but now with one billion users later, it works out that Google paid $1.65 a user a low acquisition cost in hindsight. 

When you sell Youtube how do you celebrate, upload a video to Youtube! The founders of Youtube below seem just a little bit excited. In their words the two kings in search and video have teamed up to create a better service for users together. 



Source: Youtube of course


Google paid $1.65 billion in 2006 for Youtube this acquisition is now one of Google's top growth drivers. Amazingly 40% of advertising is still spent on TV this spend should shift to Youtube over time. As devices like phones and tablets become more and more internet connected Youtube should also benefit. Stay tuned to Google.


Jason

Disclosure: Decisive is long GOOG

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.


Sunday, 17 March 2013

Mariott time for a late stay?

With Easter coming up its time to think about a vacation and where you are staying is just as important as to where you are going. It can really make or break a holiday. A favorite hotel for many is Mariott (MAR). No matter where you travel around the world you know you will receive consistent world class service and importantly a proper nights sleep!

As a company MAR is quite different to what you might expect, they don't actually own their hotels. MAR makes the majority of their money from franchise and management fees. They typically team up with property developers and offload the property to investors while MAR manage and run the hotel. It is a capital light model which has allowed MAR to grow faster than they would have otherwise.



Source: MAR hotel in Kuala Lumpur Malaysia

The model works because of MAR's brand and distribution. MAR owns 14 different hotel brands ranging from the high end Ritz Carlton to the flagship Mariott Hotels to Fairfield Inn & Suites by Mariott. MAR is so successful with property developers because their rooms are always nearly full. 20% of bookings are made online through Hilton.com and 50% of room nights are made from MAR reward members. These rooms would be hard to sell without MAR's loyal audience and distribution. 




 Source: Mariott investor day


Booked out?
Supply growth from the industry has been muted since the crisis. One of MAR's main peers Hilton was taken private by Blackstone group near the top of the market in 2007, due to overleveraged competitors MAR has grown to around 9% room marketshare. MAR is dominant in North America but is set to become even more so with around 20% of hotels in construction.

Check in to Chinese tourism
MAR is pushing hard into China. MAR received an unexpected marketing boost when Xi Jinping the President of China traveled to the US and stayed exclusively at MAR hotels. MAR market share in China is growing with 15% of room supply but 23% of room revenue due to their premium brand. MAR also believe that they will benefit from Chinese tourists visiting the US, according to MAR the US has a supply of only 5 million rooms. They estimate over the course of the next decade there is the potential for an extra 40 million inbound visits from China, often staying for a week that is 280 million nights a major shock to the system!

The bad news is that the US government is 5% of overall MAR travel so the budget issues have and will impact MAR profitability. We think this focus is too short term with the Chinese opportunity MAR is one way to check in to growth in the Chinese travel industry.

Jason

Disclosure: Decisive has no position in MAR

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.

Sunday, 10 March 2013

Great business cards

Really enjoyed this site below with pictures of business cards from some of the most famous people in the world.


Had to wear sunglasses to read Bill Gates card, so bright!

 Kids these days!


Only Steve Martin could carry this card off


Source: http://www.flavorwire.com/364847/the-fascinating-business-cards-of-20-famous-people/view-all



Jason


Disclosure: Decisive has a position in Facebook

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.

Sunday, 3 March 2013

The world's most famous arena?

The world’s most famous arena is the Garden in New York City. Madison Square Garden (MSG) no surprise is the owner. What is surprising about MSG is that they do not just own the venue. MSG owns the content, the New York teams Knicks and Rangers (basketball and hockey) and the distribution rights. Management likes to think of themselves as a content company not as a sports team. MSG owns two media networks that distribute the content, one focused on sports and Fuse which is focused on music and entertainment. These two networks generate nearly all of the operating profit for the company.

If you can make it here you can make it anywhere
Madison Square Garden has been estimated to have cost to build $1.1 bn in todays dollars and this number does not include the recent transformation underway which costs another $1 bn.  According to totalprosports.com it is one the most expensive stadiums in the world. The Garden is arguably a lot more valuable than its cost given MSG has ownership of the air rights an extremely valuable asset for a skyscraper given its central location.


Knicks worth one bilion dollar$

They also own the New York Knicks, the New York Rangers and the New York Liberty. According to Forbes the New York Knicks alone are worth $1.1 billion alone topping the National Basketball Association as the most valuable team.

 
Doing the math just for the Knicks and the venue equals about $3bn (not including the media networks) below the enterprise valuation of the entire business of $4.1 billion.
At the moment the Garden is undergoing a transformation, the final phase to be completed in 2013. The upside to all this is that the Garden has been shut for up to 5 months of the year in order to complete renovations. Also with the NBA’s new collective bargaining agreement running costs will decrease with players now receiving 50% of revenue down from 57% previously.

Sports here there and everywhere
The value of sports rights are increasing dramatically due to smartphones and the need for cable companies to differentiate their content. Having a smartphone in your pocket means subscribers have the ability to watch sport live no matter where you are. Personally taping games to watch later never seems to work, with all the media around today its too hard to escape the result.

Some of this value has been illustrated through recent purchases by cable companies, it is the main way that they can differentiate content from competitors. Late last year NewsCorp bought 49% of the New York Yankees baseball channel valuing the network at $3 billion. This follows Time Warner Cables deal for the Los Angeles Lakers paying $3 billion for 20 year of rights. These transactions showcase the inherent value in teams are the media rights. Buyers are not buying the team but the regional sports networks. The networks make the money the teams spend it (though both are needed)!

 Jason


Disclosure: Decisive has no position in MSG

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.