Wednesday, 28 November 2012

Ask.com top questions for 2012

Ask.com has just released the most common questions for 2012. The celebrity questions were the best as shown below. Ask.com is owned by Interactive Corp (IACI).

Source http://iac.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=43&item=2084

Some good questions there. I was worried I might have missed out on some wedding invitations but what were the answers? I ended up going to Google (GOOG) instead, that got me thinking....

How does ask.com answer the question of what search engine is the best, ask.com is of course!



Ask.com is far and away the no. 4 player in search at just 3.5% market share behind GOOG, Microsoft's Bing and Yahoo. Ask.com does have a better chance since they acquired about.com, there are a lot of synergies between the two companies with search accounting for more than 50% of IACI's revenues. Its a nice niche focusing on answering questions, interestingly most of IACIs search revenue comes from an agreement with GOOG showing their adwords results to users.

I am just waiting for IACI to focus more on mobile. Mobile has been a major issue for most technology companies, IACI seem to be too focused on desktop toolbars and other PC centric services. The other major part of their business is online dating (they own match.com) another service that is not very mobile centric.

This lack of a mobile strategy is causing the company to trade near the bottom end of their historical multiple range at 12x. IACI's major shareholder Barry Diller is best known as the spin king (in a good way) famous for spinning off Expedia and then Trip Advisor, two companies which are now larger than IACI. Maybe its time for IACI to spin off some of their assets to reduce the conglomerate discount, that might help ease investors concerns over a lack of mobile strategy. 

Jason


Disclosure: Decisive is long GOOG

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.


Thursday, 22 November 2012

A solid gold investment?

We’ve come a long way since the first credit cards were issued in Fresno, California. (Source Visa). We now have online payment systems such as Paypal and the rise of mobile money which surprisingly made their debut in Zambia, Africa ten years ago. Now we have the next innovation, gold credit cards. That’s right a card made of solid gold.

 

Visa and a bank headquartered in Russia (Sberbank) have teamed up to offer their Kazakhstan branch a solid gold credit card. The card will be offered only to the bank's 100 most valuable customers and will cost $100,000 upfront with an annual fee of $2,000. Now I have to go massively into debt just to have a card! Though the card does contain 26 diamonds equal to 0.17 carats and a mother of pearl.

How do you swipe you ask? You can’t the card can only be used for chip transactions. No magnetic strip, guess I won’t be ordering one for Christmas after all!

 

Disclosure: Decisive has no positiion in the bank
The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs.

Wednesday, 14 November 2012

Michael Kors fashion is like dating

According to Michael Kors fashion is like dating, there’s great fling material and then there’s husband material. Actual Q&A below.

In conversation with CBS watch magazine the reporter asked.
Q. "Fashion is changing so quickly now. What advice would you give to a young woman who is trying to keep up with trends?"

A. His response was utterly priceless: "She should take the same approach she takes to guys: There’s great fling material, and then there’s great husband material! Apply that to your wardrobe and it means invest in the key pieces you’ll want to spend time with season after season, the pieces that will help define your style. Don’t invest major money in the trendy pieces that will feel old by this time next year. Like dating that guy just for fun--it’s not to say you shouldn’t do it, just don’t sink a lot into it!"

Great advice, I think? What is even more confusing is how fast Michael Kors (KORS) the company is growing in what should be a soft economy for a luxury brand. What are the reasons? They seem to be taking market share from their major competitor Coach (COH), KORS has 1/3 of their market share in the US and its growing. KORS is also underpenetrated overseas so while markets like Europe and China might be soft KORS can still find room to grow. It also helps that KORS bags are generally cheaper than COH and according to KORS made with better quality materials evidenced by lower margins than COH. In my opinion, the major reason is Michael Kors himself.

Michael is the key
There are a lot of fashion brands around the world. The difference is many of these fashion brands have lost their original iconic founder and creative designer, KORS has not. Michael is 53 years old, is a major shareholder with 4% of the company and has a lifetime non-compete agreement. He has fashion credibility from project runway and many celebrities are fans of his designs.
 
Source: Retail Sails
KORS has also made the list of the most productive retail stores in the US. Apple was not a surprise given the dollar amount of goods they sell but Lululemon was, I thought their gear was expensive!
Europe sales up 97%?

Overall revenue was up 74% with same store sales of 45.1%. Sales in Europe were particularly strong up 97% year over year. The CEO John Idol was upbeat about Europe in contrast to many other companies. “I think, by this time next year we anticipate being the number one accessible luxury handbag company in Europe. And to really get there from  four years  ago is quite an extraordinary feat.” No.1 after 4 years, I tip my hat off to that performance.
Management's profit guidance assumes a slow-down in sales to mid-20% same store sales growth, in our opinion a conservative assumption given the strength and underpenetration of the brand. KORS is one company investors should put on their shopping list as the fiscal cliff approaches.

Jason


Disclosure: At the time of this article Decisive has no position in KORS

The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs

Wednesday, 7 November 2012

Do you earn more than the boss? $1 CEOs

Executive pay has risen multiples above the average common worker (see chart below). Including realised options CEO’s in 2011 earned on average 231 times more than employees in the same firm. It is an obscene amount of money, at least it is trending down. Executives are now earning only 200x a normal salary down from 400, the GFC has affected everyone! After this little outburst, we will concentrate more on positive executive trends and while it is small we are a seeing a trend of $1 CEO’s. Yes that’s right CEO’s with $1 salaries. You might earn more than the boss.


Source: Economic Policy Institute

According to Forbes there are now at least six executives who take in $1 as their salary. Before you can say you finally earn more than the boss, five out of these six are billionaires. These executives are 
  • Oracle‘s Larry Ellison
  • Google’s Larry Page and co-founder Sergey Brin
  • Hewlett Packard’s Meg Whitman
  • Kinder Morgan’s Richard Kinder
  • The other executive is Whole Foods’ John Mackey (only worth a couple of hundred million).
Other notable members

The late Steve Jobs was also a member of the $1 club. 
  • Mark Zuckerberg is following this Silicon Valley trend, effective 1st January 2013 Mark Zuckerberg will be earning $1 per year.
  • Elon Musk of Tesla is a $1 CEO but in annual disclosures he is entitled to $33,280 the minimum wage requirement under California law. Talk about red tape, don’t worry he is billionaire too.
  • Investors have got to pay more for Buffet services $100,000 but this is an absolute bargain given average hedge fund managers typically charge 20% of the profits.

Of course the $1 salary is not so simple CEO’s like Larry Ellison receive other benefits like stock options, security services and perks like use of aircraft. Now I don’t mind earning a $1! The point of all this is while these CEO’s are wealthy having all their personal wealth tied directly to the stock provides direct alignment of interests with shareholders. Investing with CEO’s that benefit only when shareholders do sounds like a good starting point for investments.


We like to invest alongside founder led firms. The companies these founders create are their life’s work, they are not like professional managers jumping from job to job every five years. Founder led firms tend to be more focused on the longer term and are more willing to invest in future growth opportunities at the expense of short term margins. They also tend to do more focused acquisitions, no empire builders here. This tends to add up to better long term share performance.

The final question is how do they get paid? A dollar monthly is only 8.3 cents a month! Luckily they have already earned enough money. It typically pays to invest alongside these people, they are working because they enjoy it and they want to see their businesses succeed. The bottom line is it pays to invest alongside management with material shareholdings, its the best kind of shareholder alignment. 


Jason


The material in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. The material has been prepared without regard to any client's or other person's investment objectives. Before making an investment decision you should consider the assistance of a financial adviser and whether any investment or service is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs